CGD at AGU 2024 Fall Meeting

About

AGU Fall Meeting 2024 will be held in Washington, D.C. and online everywhere 9 - 13 December 2024. More than 25,000 attendees from more than 100 countries will convene.

The theme is: “What’s Next for Science.” Science has always been about the new. The now. The next. It’s what propels us, feeding our questions and inspiring our work. The constant question and answer form a rhythm, a cadence, a story. Science is a story. A story of infinite possibilities. A story of continuous discoveries. A story of hopeful solutions.

It’s the story of our journey; we create what’s next. What’s next for our community. What’s next for discoveries. What’s next for our planet. What’s Next for Science.

We're excited to continue our participation and hope you can join us @NCAR_CGD ! #AGU24

Monday, 9 Dec 2024

• 08:30 - 08:40: Towards an understanding of the origins of a discrepancy in atmospheric humidity trends in arid and semi-arid regions between models and observations (B11B) - Oral Presentation
  • Isla Simpson
• 08:30 - 10:00: Advancing Paleoclimatology by Combining Data, Models, and Theory I Oral (PP1A) - Chair
  • Dan Amhrein
• 08:30 - 12:20: Examining state dependence of the cloud feedback using a perturbed parameter ensemble (GC11T) - Poster
  • Jiang Zhu
• 08:35 - 08:45: Three atmospheric patterns dominate decadal North Atlantic meridional overturning circulation variability (OS11A) - Oral Presentation
  • Dan Amhrein 
• 08:35 -12:00: Rethinking the susceptibility-based strategy for marine cloud brightening climate intervention: experiment with CESM2 and its implications (GC11G) - Poster
  • Jack Chen 
• 09:15 - 09:25: Simulated and Observed Transport Estimates Across the Overturning in the Subpolar North Atlantic Program (OSNAP) Section (OS11A) - Oral Presentation
  • Gokhan Danabasoglu
• 09:36 - 09:48:  The Vertical Extent of Convection in the Community Earth System Model (CESM): A Simplified Total Energy Approach to Plume Properties (A51G) - Oral Presentation
  • Rich Neale 
• 12:30 - 13:30: Presenting the World Climate Research Programme’s Lighthouse Activity for Research on Climate Intervention: Identifying Goals, Timelines, and Outcomes and Obtaining Community Feedback (TH53D) - Town Hall
  • Peter Lawrence
• 13:40 - 17:30: Cross-attractor transforms: Improving forecasts by learning optimal maps between dynamical systems and imperfect models (NG13A) - Poster
  • Dan Amhrein
• 13:40 - 17:40: Advancing Paleoclimatology by Combining Data, Models, and Theory II Poster (PP13B) - Chair
  • Dan Amrhein
• 13:40 - 17:40: Characterizations and Simulations of Convective Clouds Separated by Aerosol Conditions and Growth Stages: Cases From the TRACER Field Campaign (A13E) - Poster
  •  Azusa Takeishi
• 13:40 - 17:30: Non-monotonic Convective Response to Vertical Wind Shear: A Closer Look from Cloud Resolving Models (A13E) - Poster
  • Yang Tian
• 14:30- 14:40: Improving terrestrial hydrologic process representation in Earth System Models: Accounting for slope, aspect, and lateral water transfer through representative hillslopes (H13R) - Oral Presentation
  • David Lawrence
• 14:50 - 15:00: G2-sulfur: examining the relationship between stratospheric aerosol injection and AMOC using a pre-industrial control background (GC13U) - Oral Presentation 
  • Walker Lee 
• 16:00 - 16:10: Using machine learning emulators for continental-scale land/hydrology model calibration and regionalization supporting water security applications (H14B) - Oral Presentation
  • Guoqiang Tang
• 17:05 - 17:15: Using the Community Earth System Model to investigate the carbon and climate responses to mitigation and climate intervention scenarios. (B14D) - Oral Presentation
  • Peter Lawrence

Tuesday, 10 Dec 2024

• 08:30 - 10:00: Advancing Paleoclimatology by Combining Data, Models, and Theory III Oral (PP21A) - Chair
  • Dan Amhrein
• 08:30 - 12:20: The What If Modeling Intercomparison Project (WhatIfMIP): Exploring Consequences of Tipping Points (GC21V) - Poster
  •  Bette Otto-Bliesner
• 13:40 - 17:40: Water and energy balance in snow-dominated mountainous regions (C23B) - Poster
  • Samar Minallah
•  13:40 - 17:30: The NCAR Climate Data Guide: Connecting Data Experts with Users (GC23E) - Poster
  • Nathan Lenssen
• 13:40 - 17:30: Environmental Controls on Tropical Cyclone Rapid Intensification in high-resolution Earth System Models (A23A) - Poster
  • Hui Li

Wednesday, 11 Dec 2024

• 08:30- 12:20: Impact of Vertical and Horizontal Resolution on Key Aspects of the Community Atmosphere Model version 7 (CAM7) Climate (A31L) - Poster
  • Cecile Hannay
• 08:30 - 12:20: Opportunities and Challenges With Sea ice Model Developments in the CESM (A31H) - Poster 
  • Alice DuVivier
• 10:20 - 11:50: What’s Next for Global Crop Mapping and Modeling in Its Applications to Food Security Analysis? III Oral (GC32F) - Co-chair
  • Sam Rabin
• 11:20 - 11:30: Quantifying the value of Antarctic polynyas on the ecosystem from phytoplankton to penguins - Oral Presentation (B32A) - Oral Presentation
  • Alice DuVivier 
• 13:40 - 17:30: A framework for creating a next-generation probabilistic gridded precipitation dataset for CONUS (A33C) - Poster
  • Guoqiang Tang
• 14:20 - 14:30: Inference, Initialization and Intent: Improving Representation of Microbial Dynamics in Earth System Models. (B33J) - Oral Presentation
  • Will Wieder
• 15:20 - 15:30: Atmospheric River Responses to Past and Future Climate Change in the High-Resolution Community Earth System Model (PP33F) - Oral Presentation
  • Sophia Macarewich
• 16:00– 17:30: What’s Next for Global Crop Mapping and Modeling in Its Applications to Food Security Analysis? III Oral (GC31K) - Co-chair
  • Sam Rabin
• 16:15 - 16:35: The Detection and Attribution of Anthropogenic Climate Change and Extreme Weather and Climate Events (GC34B) - Oral Presentation
  • Isla Simpson

Thursday, 12 Dec 2024

• 08:30 – 10:00: Probabilistic Machine Learning for Stochastic Parameterization of Deep Convection Triggering (NG41A) - Oral Presentation
  • Greta Miller
• 08:30–12:20: What’s Next for Global Crop Mapping and Modeling in Its Applications to Food Security Analysis? IV Poster (GC41M) - Co-chair (poster)
  • Sam Rabin
• 08:30-12:20: Using Machine Learning to Accurately Identify High Latitude Weather Events (C41D) - Poster
  • Christine Shields
• 09:05 - 09:16: High-Resolution Simulations of Tropical Cyclones: From the Geological Past to Future Projections (A41E) -Oral Presentation
  • Bette Otto-Bliesner
• 10:20 - 11:50: Connecting Earth System Intelligence to Real-World Action: Bridging the Divide Between Scientists and Everyone Else (U42B) -  Co-chair Townhall
  • Mari Tye/ Monica Morrison   
• 11:00 - 11:10: Investigating Controls on the Isotopic Composition of Precipitation in the Continental United States using Numerical Tracers in the Community Earth System Model (Invited) (PP42B) - Oral Presentation
  • Sophia Macarewich
• 13:40 - 17:30: Arctic coastal communities navigating current and projected climate driven changes in environments, subsistence activities and culture in the Bering and Chukchi seas (C43B) - Poster
•  13:40 - 17:30: The runaway problem in CESM2 and climate sensitivity over a wide temperature range (A43E) - Poster
  • Jiang Zhu
• 15:25 – 15:40: Revisiting Miocene Climatic Optimum with Equilibrated iCESM Simulations (PP43E) - Oral Presentation
  • Feng Zhu
• 18:00 - 19:00: Idealized Modeling within the Community Earth System Model (TH45A) -Townhall
  • Isla Simpson  

Friday, 13 Dec 2024

• 08:30 - 10:00: Lakes and Inland Water Bodies I Oral (H51D) - Session Chair
  • Samar Minallah
• 08:30-10:00: Distributional Equity of Future Coastal Hazards Exposure under Alternative Adaptation Pathways (OS51A) - Oral Presentation
  • Meredith Leung
• 08:30 - 12:20: The Atmosphere Model Working Group Diagnostics Framework (ADF) (GC51X) - Poster
  • Brian Medeiros
• 08:30 - 12:20: The Effects of Different Enthalpy Formulations on the Surface Heat Budget of an Earth System Model (GC51AA) - Poster
  • Gustavo Marques
• 08:30 - 12:20: CESM Unified Postprocessing and Diagnostics (CUPiD) (GC51X) - Poster
  •  Teagan King
• 08:30 - 12:20: Results from an Updated Climate Variability Diagnostics Package for Large Ensembles Applied to a new Multi-Model Large Ensemble Archive (GC51X) - Poster
  •  John Fasullo
• 08:30 - 12:20: Underestimation of the Forced Regional Sea Level Response From Averages Across Standard-Resolution Model Ensembles (G51B) - Poster
  • John Fasullo
• 08:45 – 09:00:  Exploring the Relative Importance of the MJO and ENSO to North Pacific Subseasonal Predictability with an Interpretable Neural Network (A51G) - Oral Presentation
  •  Kirsten Mayer
• 10:20 - 11:50: Lakes and Inland Water Bodies II Oral (H52D) - Session Chair
  • Samar Minallah
• 16:00-16:10: Comparing S2S Prediction Skill in E3SM and CESM (A54A) - Oral Presentation
  •  Sasha Glanville
• 16:05 – 16:15: Mixed Phase Aerosol-Cloud Interactions over the Southern Ocean (Invited) (A54C) - Oral Presentation
  • Christina McCluskey